Egg prices are down. In part because Trump allowed egg imports. Beef steaks and ground beef prices zoomed up; in order to reduce costs to consumers, Trump has quadrupled the Argentina import quota… Why not allow more tariff free imports of coffee? Of steel? Of Aluminum? Of garments?

The Strange Cases Wherein Trump Realizes Imports Lower Prices

Figure 1: Beef steak price (blue), ground beef price (tan), ground coffee price (green), all nsa, in logs, 2025M01=0. Source: BLS via FRED, and author’s calculations.

Egg prices have come down 29.6%relative to January 2025. However, some credit — as mentioned previously — has to go to increased import flows.

Source: The Poultry Site13 October 2025.

I wish the Trump administration would incorporate this result into their thinking on trade policy formulation. In particular, I think it would be a freebie to lower tariffs on coffee, there being only an incredibly small domestic producer constituency for such protection.



This entry was posted on by Menzie Chinn.

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