Browsing: Uncertainty

From Baker, Bloom and Davis, as well as Caldara et al., in the wake of Section 232…

The appeals court decision is a win, but we’re still a far way from resolving policy uncertainty:…

by AI | 20.Aug 2025 | Europe in brief AI The trade agreement between Brussels and Washington has “mitigated” but…

Ukraine has been living for the fourth consecutive year under extraordinary wartime conditions characterised by profound uncertainty and persistent risks.…

Policy uncertainty has remains high; does it matter for economic uncertainty? Figure 1: EPU-trade category (blue, left scale), and Trade…

Here’s the data through 7/9: Figure 1: EPU-trade category (blue, left scale), and Trade Policy Uncertainty index (red, right scale).…

See here and here. Every morning I wake up, think I can’t see anything more crazy than what occurred yesterday,…

A picture (or two) is worth a thousand words: Figure 1: Sum of nonresidential equipment and structures investment, bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR…

Measured trade policy uncertainty, from Baker, Bloom and Davis, and Caldara, Iacoviello,  Molligo, Prestipino, and Raffo: Figure 1: EPU-trade category…

As of today: Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), 7 day centered moving average (red, left scale), VIX (green right…