Babiš: The EC must find other ways to finance Ukraine, the Czech Republic will not guarantee anythingDecember 14, 2025
Economy CalculatedRisk (Still) on Recession WatchBy DailyWesternAugust 7, 20250 Bill McBride’s assessment here. In early April, I went on recession watch, but I’m still not yet predicting a recession…
Economy Gerard Baker: “If Trump’s Tariffs Are So Bad, Where’s the Recession?”By DailyWesternJuly 29, 20250 That question was posed in the WSJand poses three possible answers: There are three possible answers: First, it’s too early…
Economy Some Basic Math on Why I Think the Recession Likelihood Is Greater than 30%By DailyWesternJune 18, 20250 Goldman Sachs has reduced the probability of recession in the next 12 months to 30%, from 35%, and earlier 45%…
Economy Michaillat-Saez Recession Indicator | EconbrowserBy DailyWesternJune 7, 20250 As noted in this post, the indicator detected a recession in March 2024. It stayed above the threshold thereafter, so…