Browsing: Private

Bloomberg consensus is +7K for ADP release. Figure 1: ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), ARIMA(1,1,1)…

ADP released +42K private NFP surprises upside (+32K Bloomberg consensus). Figure 1: ADP private NFP, October release…

Using 2022M01-25M08 data on implied preliminary benchmark private employment, a regression on first log differences yields a…

I estimated three models, 2021-2025M08, resulting in adjusted R2 of between 0.54 (based on ADP data) to…

We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford…

Since we won’t get the BLS September numbers on Friday, this is what we have. Figure 1:…

On July 15, five of China’s most prominent private-sector entrepreneurs sat shoulder to shoulder at a press conference in Beijing…

by Calculated Risk on 6/10/2025 02:44:00 PM Note: I’ve received a number of requests to post this again.  So here…