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Browsing: Nowcasts
2025Q4 2nd release, GDPNow, and Survey of Professional Forecasters: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow (3/13) (light blue square), March…
GDPNow shows fast growth… Figure 1: GDP (bold black), CBO projection (tan), WSJ mean (green), GDPNow of 2/11 (light blue…
GDPNow for Q4 at 5.1% is considerably higher than Goldman Sachs at 3.1%, and St. Louis Fed at essentially zero.…
A survey: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow of 12/16 (light blue square), NY Fed nowcast of 12/19 (red line),…
Tomorrow, we get results for September employment. Bloomberg consensus is for +55K, compared to +42K at the originally scheduled release…
Goldman Sachs says +0.3% q/q AR in Q3: Figure 1: Final sales to domestic purchasers (bold black),…
From Cleveland Fed, Goldman Sachs, plus Bloomberg consensus – generally, acceleration in the q/q annualized: Figure 1:…
As of today: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow of 7/9 (light blue inverted triangle), NY Fed nowcast of 7/11…
Various observers have argued for final sales to private domestic purchasers as the best measure of economic momentum. Nowcasts and…
NY Fed, St. Louis Fed, GS tracking: Figure 1: GDP as reported (black), May Survey of Professional Forecasters (tan), GDPNow…