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Economy Nowcasting January Private NFP | EconbrowserBy DailyWesternFebruary 8, 20260 BLS will release (w/delay) on Wednesday. Until then, we have ADP (which underwent benchmarking). Using ADP data (2022M01-2025M12) to extrapolate…
Economy Nowcasting “Core GDP” | EconbrowserBy DailyWesternFebruary 2, 20260 From Atlanta Fed and Goldman Sachs, numbers that perhaps better represent the trajectory of aggregate demand. Figure 1: Final sales…
Economy Nowcasting Core GDP | EconbrowserBy DailyWesternJanuary 6, 20260 Further deceleration. Figure 1: Final sales to private domestic purchasers (bold black), Nov SPF (tan), GDPNow of 1/5 (light blue…
Economy Nowcasting Private NFP using ADP DataBy DailyWesternNovember 7, 20250 Using 2022M01-25M08 data on implied preliminary benchmark private employment, a regression on first log differences yields a…
Economy Nowcasting Private NFP for SeptemberBy DailyWesternOctober 5, 20250 We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford…
