Fico rejects Politico’s claims about a meeting with Trump, he did not talk about it at the EU summitJanuary 29, 2026
Economy Six Measures of Nonfarm Payroll Employment: All Below PeakBy DailyWesternJanuary 11, 20260 From CES, CPS, QCEW, Philly Fed, and from ADP: Figure 1: Cumulative change in nonfarm payroll employment from BLS CES-official…
Economy Six Estimates of Nonfarm Payroll EmploymentBy DailyWesternJanuary 4, 20260 Early Benchmark suggests a downturn, as does QCEW, Powell conjecture: Figure 1: Official nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment (blue) ,implied preliminary…
Economy Nonfarm payroll employment estimates through NovemberBy DailyWesternDecember 14, 20250 Goldman Sachs, ADP implied, etc. Also Powell conjecture. Figure 1: Change in implied benchmark revision since Janaury 2025 (bold black),…
Economy Consensus vs. ARIMA(1,1,1): ADP Private Nonfarm PayrollBy DailyWesternDecember 2, 20250 Bloomberg consensus is +7K for ADP release. Figure 1: ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), ARIMA(1,1,1)…
Economy September Private Nonfarm Payroll Employment According to ADPBy DailyWesternOctober 2, 20250 Since we won’t get the BLS September numbers on Friday, this is what we have. Figure 1:…
Economy Six Measures of Nonfarm Payroll EmploymentBy DailyWesternSeptember 20, 20250 Including Philadelphia Fed early benchmark, released today. Several series are below recent peaks, including the early benchmark.…
