Browsing: GDP

by Calculated Risk on 11/21/2025 11:56:00 AM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

by Calculated Risk on 11/14/2025 11:38:00 AM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

Mark Zandi has asserted that whether the US goes into recession depends on how CA and NY economies evolve. If…

by Calculated Risk on 10/31/2025 01:58:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

(where I *do not* equate 2 consecutive quarters to a recession, as that’s what rookies do…): Figure 1: Annualized GDP…

by Calculated Risk on 10/03/2025 01:15:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking increased to 2.8%…

That’s q4/q4, as noted in the survey results for September. FIgure 1: GDP (bold black), FT-Booth September…

On September 18, we held an event dedicated to reviewing the economy over the past month with a special theme:…

That’s exactly what EJ Antoni did in “Biden’s Recession” (August 1, 2022): In terms of how we define it or…

Referring to Dr. Antoni’s definition of recessions using quarterly data, here are the GDP data series for…