Browsing: GDP

Just under two months ago, GDPNow’s estimate of the contribution of final sales to private domestic purchasers (sum of consumption…

by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2025 01:04:00 PM The advance release of Q3 GDP has been cancelled. Q3 GDP will be…

by Calculated Risk on 11/28/2025 12:56:00 PM The advance release of Q3 GDP has been cancelled, and the 2nd release…

The view using CBO measures: Figure 1: Unemployment gap (blue), and output gap (dark red), implied output…

by Calculated Risk on 11/21/2025 11:56:00 AM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

by Calculated Risk on 11/14/2025 11:38:00 AM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

Mark Zandi has asserted that whether the US goes into recession depends on how CA and NY economies evolve. If…

by Calculated Risk on 10/31/2025 01:58:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

(where I *do not* equate 2 consecutive quarters to a recession, as that’s what rookies do…): Figure 1: Annualized GDP…

by Calculated Risk on 10/03/2025 01:15:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking increased to 2.8%…