Browsing: GDP

Q4 GDP growth halved, Q4 consumption undershoots consensus by nearly half percentage point (ann’d): Figure 1: Implied nonfarm payroll (NFP)…

NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee (BCDC) key variables: Figure 1: Implied NFP preliminary benchmark revision (thin blue), post-benchmark NFP (bold…

Yesterday, Jim moved the Econbrowser  Little Econ Watcher’s countenance to neutral 😐, based primarily on Q3 growth, using the methodology…

The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP grew at a 1.4% annual rate in…

As of yesterday (discussion in WSJ): CBR estimates 0.9% growth for 2025 y/y. It also estimates y/y December inflation at…

Bank of Finland’s BOFIT concludes: China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reports fourth-quarter growth of the Chinese economy slowed to…

When U.S. President Donald Trump introduced his “5 percent doctrine,” referring to his demand that NATO allies spend 5 percent…

From Atlanta Fed and Goldman Sachs, numbers that perhaps better represent the trajectory of  aggregate demand. Figure 1: Final sales…

While the mean forecast is for around 2.2% growth in 2026 (see this post), the trimmed 20% band suggests some…

Compared against CBO, GS tracking: Figure 1: Reported GDP (bold black), WSJ mean (red), CBO projection (tan), and GS tracking…