Browsing: GDP

While the mean forecast is for around 2.2% growth in 2026 (see this post), the trimmed 20% band suggests some…

Compared against CBO, GS tracking: Figure 1: Reported GDP (bold black), WSJ mean (red), CBO projection (tan), and GS tracking…

Further deceleration. Figure 1: Final sales to private domestic purchasers (bold black), Nov SPF (tan), GDPNow of 1/5 (light blue…

by Calculated Risk on 1/05/2026 02:51:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Update: The Housing Bubble and…

Official statistics suggest the country is below recent business cycle peak. Figure 1: Russian real GDP, n.s.a. (blue), seasonally adjusted…

A survey: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow of 12/16 (light blue square), NY Fed nowcast of 12/19 (red line),…

Following up on Jim’s post yesterday, here are some additional thoughts on the “initial” (consolidated advance and 2nd) release: (1)…

The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP grew at a 4.3% annual rate in…

Just under two months ago, GDPNow’s estimate of the contribution of final sales to private domestic purchasers (sum of consumption…

by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2025 01:04:00 PM The advance release of Q3 GDP has been cancelled. Q3 GDP will be…