Browsing: Fed

In general, not good news. Using the relationship in (log) first differences implies slight gain in private NFP: Figure 1:…

From Bloomberg: “If we don’t adjust policy down, then I think that we do run risks,” Miran said during an…

by Calculated Risk on 12/17/2025 08:01:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…

by Calculated Risk on 9/17/2025 08:18:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…

If credibility is degraded, then tariff induced cost-push shocks are less likely to manifest as one-off price…

Some 500 economists work for the Federal Reserve System. This is probably more than the entire dismal science faculty at…

by Calculated Risk on 8/21/2025 08:12:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Friday:• At…

Compared to Taylor rule, according the to the Atlanta Fed Taylor rule utility. Figure 1: Fed funds implied by Taylor…

by Calculated Risk on 7/21/2025 07:44:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Move Slightly Lower to…

by Calculated Risk on 7/16/2025 07:02:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…