Browsing: Estimates

GDO and GDP+. Figure 1: GDP advance (bold blue), GDP+ (red), GDO estimate (green), all Q/Q annualized growth rate, calculated…

Early Benchmark suggests a downturn, as does QCEW, Powell conjecture: Figure 1: Official nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment (blue) ,implied preliminary…

Goldman Sachs, ADP implied, etc. Also Powell conjecture. Figure 1: Change in implied benchmark revision since Janaury 2025 (bold black),…

Today we present a guest post written by Matías Scaglione of the data science and economic consulting firm Motio Research.…