Browsing: Employment

by Calculated Risk on 9/05/2025 09:11:00 AM The headline jobs number in the August employment report was below expectations and…

by Calculated Risk on 9/03/2025 07:58:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…

by Calculated Risk on 8/13/2025 01:19:00 PM Here is a look at the change in teen employment over time.The graph…

Personally, I’m not convinced, but if you are, then consider this graph: Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment…

Tales from the Employment Situation release for July: (1) July Establishment employment change below consensus; (2) Revisions make trends slower;…

by Calculated Risk on 7/31/2025 08:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Friday:• At…

There’s a view that civilian employment (household series) peaks before nonfarm payroll employment (establishment series). If true, then time for…

June NFP beats consensus on the back of education and health services employment, while private NFP surprises downside. With S&P…

by Calculated Risk on 7/02/2025 08:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…

+139K vs +126K Bloomberg consensus; private NFP +140K vs +110K. Manufacturing employment down 8K vs -1K consensus. But durable manufacturing…