Browsing: Employment

by Calculated Risk on 10/02/2025 08:13:00 PM NOTE: The employment report will not be released due to the government shutdown.…

Effective September 30th, some 105000 Federal workers who had signed up for the Deferred Resignation Program will…

Beware the aggregates. The slowdown is showing up in smaller firms first, according to BLS Business Employment Dynamics data. Figure…

Is the Administration secretly happy that the employment situation release was delayed? Without inside information, one can’t…

Since we won’t get the BLS September numbers on Friday, this is what we have. Figure 1:…

by Calculated Risk on 9/30/2025 07:51:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Wednesday:• At…

Including Philadelphia Fed early benchmark, released today. Several series are below recent peaks, including the early benchmark.…

From DWD release today: Figure 1: Wisconsin manufacturing employment, 000’s, s.a. (blue). Source: BLS, DWD. Manufacturing employment…

Like national employment, Wisconsin employment was downwardly revised (preliminary), by 79K. Splicing in the change as BLS would do yields…

by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 08:09:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Another 11-Month Low For Rates, But…