Browsing: Econbrowser

Betting is now 37% Supreme Court upholding IEEPA tariffs. Source: Kalshiaccessed 10/23/2025. What happens if the IEEPA…

Tomorrow, we’ll get another piece of business cycle information, in the form of industrial production, manufacturing production,…

Down from January: Figure 1: Agricultural (food, feed and beverages) exports in mn$ (tan), in mn2017$ (blue),…

U.Michigan index revised down from preliminary. Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence Index (brown),…

Yesterday, in a speech before the Economic Club of New York, Fed Governor Stephen Miran, on leave from the White…

Since “Liberation Day”, so-so: Figure 1: Manufacturing employment, production and nonsupervisory workers (blue), aggregate worker hours (green),…

Q2 final sales to private domestic purchasers — arguably a better indicator over time about momentum in…

From Newsweek today: Source: Zandi Via Newsweek. Here’s a map indicating q/q AR NFP growth through July…

With the outsized jump in the PPI, the natural question to ask is whether this implies a jump in the…

Shocker in PPI: 0.9% vs. 0.2% m/m consensus: Figure 1: Top panel, Instantaneous inflation for core CPI…