Browsing: Econbrowser

Not that I’m complaining. From SCMP via Bloomberg: US and China are expected to extend their tariff truce by another…

ERS predicts 2.2% increase in food-at-home prices in 2025. Figure 1: CPI food-at-home (black); ERS forecast of January (light blue…

From CPI, note the CPI furniture and appliances category: Figure 1: CPI all urban (blue), CPI commodities (green), and CPI…

As of today: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow of 7/9 (light blue inverted triangle), NY Fed nowcast of 7/11…

A World Gold Council headline “Central bank gold buying picks up in May”. Global central banks bought a net 20t…

So much for a manufacturing renaissance, post-“Liberation Day”. Figure 1: Manufacturing production (blue), value added in 2017$ (red), employment (tan),…

As noted in this post, the indicator detected a recession in March 2024. It stayed above the threshold thereafter, so…

Atlanta Fed nowcast shows 4.6% q/q AR growth in GDP. Interestingly, this does not take GDP back to pre-“Liberation Day”…