Browsing: Econbrowser

ADP private nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment down -32K vs. +5K Bloomberg consensus. Mfg employment down 6K. Figure 1: ADP private…

My title for Setser-Sobel in OMFIF, more soberly entitled “It’s time for China to let the renminbi appreciate sharply”: The…

The AIER’s Everyday Price Index vs. 2024 stochastic trend, and CPI: Figure 1: American Institute for Economic Research (AIER) Everday…

Not the marrying his mother and killing his father part, but (metaphorically) gouging his own eyes out. From Aaron Sojourner:…

Betting is now 37% Supreme Court upholding IEEPA tariffs. Source: Kalshiaccessed 10/23/2025. What happens if the IEEPA…

Tomorrow, we’ll get another piece of business cycle information, in the form of industrial production, manufacturing production,…

Down from January: Figure 1: Agricultural (food, feed and beverages) exports in mn$ (tan), in mn2017$ (blue),…

U.Michigan index revised down from preliminary. Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence Index (brown),…

Yesterday, in a speech before the Economic Club of New York, Fed Governor Stephen Miran, on leave from the White…

Since “Liberation Day”, so-so: Figure 1: Manufacturing employment, production and nonsupervisory workers (blue), aggregate worker hours (green),…