Trump spoke about girls being ‘of age’ at ‘above six years old’ as he promoted the SAVE America ActMarch 15, 2026
Economy Business Cycle Indicators: GDP Growth Downshifts, Consumption Slows, Downside SurpriseBy DailyWesternMarch 14, 20260 Q4 GDP growth halved, Q4 consumption undershoots consensus by nearly half percentage point (ann’d): Figure 1: Implied nonfarm payroll (NFP)…
Economy WSJ Economic Survey: Downside Risk in GDPBy DailyWesternJanuary 20, 20260 While the mean forecast is for around 2.2% growth in 2026 (see this post), the trimmed 20% band suggests some…
Economy ADP Downside Surprise | EconbrowserBy DailyWesternDecember 4, 20250 ADP private nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment down -32K vs. +5K Bloomberg consensus. Mfg employment down 6K. Figure 1: ADP private…
Economy Downside Surprise in Employment LevelsBy DailyWesternAugust 1, 20250 Tales from the Employment Situation release for July: (1) July Establishment employment change below consensus; (2) Revisions make trends slower;…
