Browsing: Cycle

My nowcast of BLS private nonfarm payroll employment was for a decreaes of 78K, but with a very wide prediction…

Torsten Slok provides this illuminating picture of discretionary spending (y/y), by category. A year ago, I wrote…

SP Global’s monthly GDP series is up (with prediction of flat GDP in Q3): Figure 1: Nonfarm…

Maybe, maybe not. With the employment release of Friday, here’re the pictures, first of NBER’s BCDC key indicators, and second…

June NFP beats consensus on the back of education and health services employment, while private NFP surprises downside. With S&P…

With industrial production, we have the following picture of series the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee focuses on: Figure 1:…

With SPGMI’s monthly GDP, we have the following picture of series the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee focuses on: Figure…