Trump spoke about girls being ‘of age’ at ‘above six years old’ as he promoted the SAVE America ActMarch 15, 2026
Economy ADP Private NFP Employment below Consensus, Large Firm Flat, Mfg DownBy DailyWesternJanuary 8, 20260 Briefly: Figure 1: Change since January 2025 in private nonfarm payroll employment, BLS official (blue), implied preliminary benchmark BLS private…
Economy Consensus vs. ARIMA(1,1,1): ADP Private Nonfarm PayrollBy DailyWesternDecember 2, 20250 Bloomberg consensus is +7K for ADP release. Figure 1: ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), ARIMA(1,1,1)…
Economy Confidence Drops (to above Consensus)By DailyWesternAugust 27, 20250 Conference Board Consumer Confidence at 97.4 (vs. 96.4 consensus): Figure 1: U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment (FRED series…
Economy ADP Below Consensus – What Does It Mean?By DailyWesternJuly 3, 20250 ADP private NFP change came in at -33K, vs. +99K Bloomberg consensus. It’s well known that the ADP series is…
Economy May Employment Release: NFP above Consensus, Mfg belowBy DailyWesternJune 6, 20250 +139K vs +126K Bloomberg consensus; private NFP +140K vs +110K. Manufacturing employment down 8K vs -1K consensus. But durable manufacturing…
