Browsing: Business

Q4 GDP growth halved, Q4 consumption undershoots consensus by nearly half percentage point (ann’d): Figure 1: Implied nonfarm payroll (NFP)…

Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept is diving (after retroactive application of 2026 population controls to January 2026 data), as…

Joint ventures on defence, green energy and telecoms suggest how country could join bloc in stages rather than wait for…

Most indicators suggest growth in output, spending aggregates (while employment is trending sideways). Housing is suggested as a leading indicator…

NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee (BCDC) key variables: Figure 1: Implied NFP preliminary benchmark revision (thin blue), post-benchmark NFP (bold…

Industrial and manufacturing production rise, surprising on the upside: Figure 1: Implied NFP preliminary benchmark revision (thin blue), post-benchmark NFP…

Since March 2022, the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES) has been preparing monthly reviews of Ukraine’s economy during a full-scale…

Due to the Federal government shutdown, the employment release is going to be delayed. Here are NBER business cycle indicators,…

From X today: Nov retail sales came in hot at +0.6% M/M and +3.3% Y/Y, beating expectations and above inflation,…

Unsurprisingly, the former leads the latter, but the lag is (highly) variable. Figure 1: Real pretax corporate profits for nonfinancial…