by Calculated Risk on 8/09/2025 08:11:00 AM
The key reports this week are July CPI and Retail Sales.
For manufacturing, the August NY Fed survey, and the July Industrial Production report will be released.
—– Monday, August 11th —–
No major economic releases scheduled.
—– Tuesday, August 12th —–
6:00 AM ET: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for July.
8:30 AM: The Consumer Price Index for July from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in CPI, and a 0.3% increase in core CPI. The consensus is for CPI to be up 2.8% year-over-year and core CPI to be up 3.0% YoY.
—– Wednesday, August 13th —–
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
—– Thursday, August 14th —–
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase to 228 thousand from 226 thousand last week.
8:30 AM: The Producer Price Index for July from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in PPI, and a 0.2% increase in core PPI.
—– Friday, August 15th —–
8:30 AM: Retail sales for July is scheduled to be released. The consensus is for 0.5% increase in retail sales.
This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline)
8:30 AM: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for August. The consensus is for a reading of 0.0, down from 5.5.
9:15 AM: The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for July.
This graph shows industrial production since 1967.
The consensus is for a 0.2% decrease in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to be unchanged at 77.6%.
10:00 AM: University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for August)
