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    Home»Weather»Holiday weekend forecast: Flash flood and severe storms threaten Southern U.S.
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    Holiday weekend forecast: Flash flood and severe storms threaten Southern U.S.

    DailyWesternBy DailyWesternFebruary 13, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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    Holiday weekend forecast: Flash flood and severe storms threaten Southern U.S.
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    A powerful cross-country storm could complicate Valentine's Day and President's Day weekend plans for millions across the South. As the storm system moves across the Deep South and onto the Southeast coast through Presidents' Day, a widespread 1-2 inches of rain is expected. Rain associated with the system will bring a low-level flash flood threat from Lubbock, Texas through Joplin, Missouri on Friday. The flood threat shifts to Arkansas Saturday and increases to a Level 2 out of 4. Severe thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon from West Texas north through central Oklahoma. The severe weather threat, including the risk of tornadoes, will shift east through the weekend across the Gulf Coast.

    A powerful cross-country storm could complicate Valentine’s Day and President’s Day weekend plans for millions across the South. As the storm system moves across the Deep South and onto the Southeast coast through Presidents’ Day, a widespread 1-2 inches of rain is expected. Rain associated with the system will bring a low-level flash flood threat from Lubbock, Texas through Joplin, Missouri on Friday. The flood threat shifts to Arkansas Saturday and increases to a Level 2 out of 4. Severe thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon from West Texas north through central Oklahoma. The severe weather threat, including the risk of tornadoes, will shift east through the weekend across the Gulf Coast.

    A powerful cross-country storm is expected to bring heavy rain, as well as the threat of flooding and severe weather, which could complicate Valentine’s Day and Presidents’ Day weekend plans for millions across parts of Texas and the South.

    Outside those hazards, this rain will be beneficial for many places across the region which are abnormally dry — with some cities in the midst of some of their driest winters on record.

    South weekend storm overview
    (FOX Weather)

    According to the FOX Forecast Center, the sprawling system will move into and out of the Southwest on Saturday.

    MILLIONS ACROSS THE SOUTH FACE BREWING CROSS-COUNTRY STORM AS FLOOD THREAT INCREASES

    As the storm system moves across the Deep South and onto the Southeast coast through Presidents’ Day, a widespread 1–2 inches of rain is expected.

    Localized pockets of 2–3 inches of rain are possible across parts of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia through the holiday weekend.

    Places like Atlanta and Jackson, Mississippi are sitting between five and six inches below average rainfall.

    Southern rain forecast Friday through Monday
    (FOX Weather)

    Rain associated with the system will bring a low-level flash flood threat from Lubbock, Texas through Joplin, Missouri on Friday.

    As the storm moves into the South on Saturday, the flood threat shifts to Arkansas and increases to a Level 2 out of 4, according to NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

    Flash flood outlook.
    (FOX Weather)

    The flood threat will continue to shift east as the cross-country storm tracks into the Southeast on Presidents’ Day.

    CALIFORNIA SLAMMED BY MUCH-NEEDED RAIN AND SNOW, AS MAJOR WEATHER PATTERN SHIFTS

    Severe thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon from West Texas north through central Oklahoma, as the storm system develops.

    Like the flood threat, the risk of severe weather—including the possibility of tornadoes—will shift east across the Gulf Coast through the weekend.

    While the atmosphere contains abundant warmth and moisture, low storm energy is expected to limit the overall potential for severe storms.

    Southern severe storm threat on Saturday
    (FOX Weather)

    On Saturday, thunderstorms could develop along a line and sweep through the major Texas metros of Dallas, Houston and San Antonio in the afternoon.

    Some storms ahead of the main line may try to develop into supercell thunderstorms and could produce a tornado or two.

    HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

    The FOX Forecast Center said damaging winds look to be the biggest threat.

    flash flood forecast Holiday severe southern storms threaten U.S weekend
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