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    Home»Economy»GDP Impact of 87.5K Removals/Yr
    Economy

    GDP Impact of 87.5K Removals/Yr

    DailyWesternBy DailyWesternJuly 10, 2025No Comments1 Min Read
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    GDP Impact of 87.5K Removals/Yr
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    From Orrenius et al. (2025)GDP growth is down 0.81% in 2026, 0.49% in 2027.

    These estimates based on a VAR(2) using annual data, net unauthorized immigration as a percent of the previous-year U.S. population,  annual growth rate of nonfarm payroll employment, the PCE annual inflation rate, and yearly GDP growth.

    GDP Impact of 87.5K Removals/Yr

    Source: Orrenius et al. (2025).

    PCE inflation is 15 bps and 6 bps higher in 2026 and 2027 under baseline.

    This entry was posted on July 9, 2025 by Menzie Kent.

    87.5K GDP Impact RemovalsYr
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