Some heavy rain is likely to move into Florida this week regardless of what happens with a potential tropical threat as we head into the Fourth of July holiday weekend, and that’s bad news for those hoping to hit the beach. FOX Weather Meteorologists Michael Estime and Bayne Froney have the latest forecast on June 29, 2025.
Tens of millions of people are expected to travel ahead of the Fourth of July holiday this week, but some heavy rain will likely lead to a washout at beaches in Florida regardless of tropical development near or off the Southeast coast.
Earlier on Sunday, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said an area of low pressure could form by the end of the week or next weekend from the remnants of a frontal boundary near or along the southeastern U.S. Atlantic or Gulf coasts.
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The NHC is currently giving the potential future system a low chance of development over the next week.
However, regardless of tropical development, it’s likely going to be a miserable week and weekend at Florida beaches as Americans celebrate the Fourth of July.
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According to the FOX Forecast Center, several inches of rain could fall across the Southeast this week, especially in Florida.
Coastal areas from the Florida Panhandle southward along the Florida Peninsula to the Sarasota area could pick up 3-5 inches of rain this week, with some locally higher amounts of up to 8 inches or more.
That means if you’re hoping to head to the beach near Panama City, Perry, St. Petersburg or Tampa, you may need to prepare other plans as outdoor activities may be washed out.
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Heavy rain is also expected along the Atlantic coast of Florida from Jacksonville southward through Daytona Beach, as well as in communities along the Space Coast from Cocoa Beach to Melbourne.
Orlando is also likely going to pick up a few inches of rain this week.
