The risk of heavy rainfall and severe weather is returning to parts of the Plains and the Lone Star State. FOX Weather Meteorologist
Bob Van Dillen has the latest forecast.
Yellow, Texas – The risk of heavy rainfall and severe weather is expected to return to the Lone Star State over the weekend, but it will mostly spare the areas recently devastated by deadly flooding.
Complexes of storms are forecast to develop over parts of the Texas Panhandle, Big Bend and North Texas, forming on the eastern edge of a persistent heat dome gripping much of the western U.S.
The storms are expected to bring flash flooding, hail and damaging wind gusts, with cities such as Amarillo, Lubbock, Midland, Abilene and Dallas facing a risk of thunderstorms through the weekend and into the early part of next week.
(FOX Weather)
TEXAS FLOODING: SEARCH TEAMS NEAR 1 WEEK WITH OVER 170 STILL MISSING AND THEIR FAMILIES AWAITING CLOSURE
Computer model guidance suggests some locations could receive as much as 2-4 inches of rain, though the heaviest precipitation is expected to remain well north and west of the hard-hit Hill Country.
According to the National Weather Service, atmospheric moisture levels are forecast to climb into the 90th percentile for this time of year, primarily north of Interstate 20.
A weak steering flow means storms could move slowly and behave erratically, increasing the risk of flooding where thunderstorms train over the same area for an extended period.
Just 6 inches of fast-moving floodwater can knock over an adult, and a foot of rushing water is enough to carry away a passenger vehicle.
In areas that see rainfall and increased cloud cover, temperatures are expected to remain below seasonal averages into next week, providing some relief from the summer heat. However, much of central and southern Texas – areas in the recovery phase from the catastrophic flooding – will face dangerous heat instead of renewed flooding.
Temperatures are forecast to reach the low 90s for the foreseeable future, with heat index values climbing above 100 degrees at times.
Hundreds of first responders and volunteers continue to search for the missing a week after a deadly flood wave swept through several recreational sites along the Guadalupe River.
(FOX Weather)
WHAT’S BEHIND ALL THE RECENT EXTREME FLOODING?
Texas won’t be alone in dealing with unsettled weather.
A cold front is expected to stretch from Canada through the Great Lakes and down into the Southern Plains, bringing a broad swath of showers and thunderstorms.
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KERRVILLE, TX – JULY 6: Wrecked vehicles and trailers along the Guadalupe River in Kerrville, Texas on Sunday, July 6, 2025.
(Desiree Rios for The Washington Post ) -
The Guadalupe River began receding quickly after it rose outside Billy Gene’s Restaurant.
(Billy Gene’s Restaurant) -
This image shows damage left behind after historic and deadly flooding in Kerrville, Texas.
(Robert Ray) -
HUNT, TEXAS – JULY 7: Search and rescue workers use a sonar device while paddling down the Guadalupe River looking for survivors or the remains of victims swept up in the flash flooding on July 7, 2025 in Hunt, Texas. Heavy rainfall early Friday caused severe flash flooding along the Guadalupe River in central Texas with more than 90 fatalities reported. (Photo by Jim Vondruska/Getty Images).
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This image shows the aftermath of historic and deadly flooding in Kerrville, Texas.
(Robert Ray) -
This image shows the aftermath of historic and deadly flooding in Kerrville, Texas.
(Robert Ray) -
This image comes from drone video showing the devastating flooding in Kendall County, Texas, on July 4, 2025.
(Brandon Hans via Storyful)
