Browsing: Economy

Clickbait describes a phenomenon where a headline is given a deliberately provocative title to try to get users to engage…

From Cleveland Fed today: Figure 1: Year on year core CPI inflation (blue), core PCE (tan), Bloomberg consensus of 7/11…

by Calculated Risk on 7/11/2025 11:40:00 AM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down…

From June 1 through June 13, I was in Park City, Utah participating in the Law Institute for Economics Professors…

Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept, manufacturing production, real retail sales, ADP’s private NFP, and BTS freight services index. The…

by Calculated Risk on 7/10/2025 02:19:00 PM The U.S. hotel industry reported negative year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data…

When I was in high school (approximately 730 years ago, or so it feels these days) I first learned basic…

From Orrenius et al. (2025)GDP growth is down 0.81% in 2026, 0.49% in 2027. These estimates based on a VAR(2)…

by Calculated Risk on 7/09/2025 01:22:00 PM This data is as of July 8, 2025. Click on graph for larger…

The human brain seems wired to notice patterns.  This presumably has some evolutionary advantages, but this attribute can lead us…