Browsing: Economy

As of yesterday, here. Here’s the Troika (OMB, CEA, Treasury) forecast, plotted against SPF, IMF, and GDPNow (9/4). CBO projections…

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week:Click on graph for larger image.• Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO•…

The title of this post is a nod to Timur Kuran’s book Private Truths, Public Lies: The Social Consequences of…

Since “Liberation Day”, so-so: Figure 1: Manufacturing employment, production and nonsupervisory workers (blue), aggregate worker hours (green),…

Senior Economist Nataliia Kolesnichenko will be responsible for research on government policy towards business. Creating favourable conditions for doing business,…

by Calculated Risk on 9/05/2025 09:11:00 AM The headline jobs number in the August employment report was below expectations and…

Occasionally, I use a grocery delivery service—not always, and not for every item. In a vacuum, one might think that…

The yield curve at the short end is almost as inverted as it was in November 2024.…

Regular readers here know that myself and my co-bloggers (both present and former) spend a lot of time talking about…

Starting teaching today a course on the financial system. Here are some graphs of the current situation, through August. …