Browsing: Economy

A recent post argued that housing affordability is not so bad as it might appear when home prices are adjusted…

Bloomberg consensus is +7K for ADP release. Figure 1: ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), ARIMA(1,1,1)…

Raising excise rates on tobacco products has become an important element of Ukraine’s tax policy in recent years. It combines…

by Calculated Risk on 12/01/2025 07:10:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Erase Last Week’s GainsThe…

0:37Intro. [Recording date: October 27, 2025.]Russ Roberts: Today is October 27th, 2025, and my guest is journalist and author Sam…

it’s all over, All lost or whatver language you want to put it in. Bloomberg: “Trump Says He Has Made…

by Calculated Risk on 11/28/2025 12:56:00 PM The advance release of Q3 GDP has been cancelled, and the 2nd release…

From ADP via Paweł Skrzypczyński: Recall that the ADP report does not include government jobs.

Private NFP continues to be sustained by large firm hiring. Figure 1: Change in employment from May…

by Calculated Risk on 11/29/2025 08:11:00 AM Special Note: There is still uncertainty on when some economic reports will be…