Browsing: Economy

by Calculated Risk on 10/06/2025 01:22:00 PM Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-yearBrief excerpt: Another…

Process knowledge is hard to measure because it exists mostly in people’s heads and the pattern of their relationships to…

That’s what Kalshi estimates the shutdown durationas of today. What do we miss from BLS if that transpires? BEA? EIA,…

by Calculated Risk on 10/04/2025 08:11:00 AM The key report scheduled for this week is the August Trade Deficit (Will…

We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford…

by Calculated Risk on 10/05/2025 08:21:00 AM From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Year Data Center. Graph and excerpts…

Is the Administration secretly happy that the employment situation release was delayed? Without inside information, one can’t…

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image.• Case-Shiller: National House Price Index…

On my (endlessly expanding) “to-read” list is Nicholas Wade’s book The Origin of Politics: How Evolution and Ideology Shape the…

My nowcast of BLS private nonfarm payroll employment was for a decreaes of 78K, but with a very wide prediction…