Browsing: Economy

by Calculated Risk on 11/02/2025 10:04:00 AM Here is another update on lumber prices.SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the…

Mark Zandi has asserted that whether the US goes into recession depends on how CA and NY economies evolve. If…

by Calculated Risk on 11/01/2025 08:11:00 AM The key (missing) report this week is the October employment report.Other key indicators…

Recall, EJ Antoni and Peter St. Onge argued the US economy has been in recession since 2022. Source: Antoni and…

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week:Click on graph for larger image.• Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up…

Lewis, Mertens, Stock Weekly Economic Index (WEI) is down 1.1 ppts, while Baumeister, Leiva-Leon, Sims Weekly Economic…

by Calculated Risk on 10/31/2025 01:58:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, 3Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at…

“Expert failure” is clearly having a moment. Pollsters, Wall Street analysts, tech futurists… all are facing demands to reckon with…

Per Bloomberg. Hmm. Commitment to 12 mn metric tons (MMT) “this year” (calendar, market?). Figure 1: Figures…

by Calculated Risk on 10/30/2025 07:20:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…