Browsing: Economy

by Calculated Risk on 10/28/2025 02:03:00 PM Another update … a few key points:1) There is a clear seasonal pattern…

Shortly after the “Liberation Day” tariffs were announced back in April, Janet Bufton wrote an excellent post about whether or…

(where I *do not* equate 2 consecutive quarters to a recession, as that’s what rookies do…): Figure 1: Annualized GDP…

by Calculated Risk on 10/27/2025 07:21:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Perfectly Flat to Start…

0:37Today is September 18th, 2025, and my guest is mathematician and author David Bessis. His book is Mathematica: A Secret…

Egg prices are down. In part because Trump allowed egg imports. Beef steaks and ground beef prices…

by Calculated Risk on 10/24/2025 01:03:00 PM The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI.According to the…

Amicus Brief, and NTU Open Letter: Signatories: Stan Veuger is Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Visiting Lecturer…

by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2025 08:11:00 AM Boo! The FOMC meets this week and is expected to cut rates 25bp.The…

That’s the title of my presentation at the 2025 Minnesota Economic Association annual meetingwhere I had the honor of speaking…