Browsing: Economy

From CES, CPS, QCEW, Philly Fed, and from ADP: Figure 1: Cumulative change in nonfarm payroll employment from BLS CES-official…

by Calculated Risk on 1/11/2026 08:12:00 AM Hotel occupancy was weak in 2025.   It is difficult to tell early…

The graph says it all. Figure 1: Federal debt held by the public, trn $, end-of-period (blue, left log scale),…

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week:Click on graph for larger image.• Housing Starts Decreased to 1.246 million…

ADP and BLS CES and QCEW data confirm: Figure 1: Change since 2025M01 in manufacturing employment from BLS (blue), from…

“What’s Up With the Economy?” is a podcast by the Centre for Economic Strategy in cooperation with Hromadske Radio, supported…

by Calculated Risk on 1/09/2026 02:15:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: The “Home ATM” Mostly Closed…

This is the latest in our series of posts in our series on price theory problems with Professor Bryan Cutsinger.…

In general, not good news. Using the relationship in (log) first differences implies slight gain in private NFP: Figure 1:…

by Calculated Risk on 1/08/2026 08:03:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Friday:• At…