Browsing: Economy

by Calculated Risk on 8/02/2025 08:11:00 AM This will be a light week for economic data.The key report this week…

On July 26, Joshua Rauh, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, testified at the Reagan Library before the House…

Durables consumption has experienced extreme volatility over the last 9 months (since the election). However, services and nondurables should follow…

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week:Click on graph for larger image.• Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up…

The Roman Empire was in trouble. During the fifty-plus years known as the Crisis of the Third Century (235-284 AD),…

Tales from the Employment Situation release for July: (1) July Establishment employment change below consensus; (2) Revisions make trends slower;…

by Calculated Risk on 7/31/2025 08:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Friday:• At…

At the end of my last post, I said I’d be following up by describing both some of Musa al-Gharbi’s…

Though not quite to February rates: Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation for core CPI (blue), core PCE deflator (brown), core PCE…

by Calculated Risk on 7/31/2025 09:01:00 AM Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI…