Browsing: Economy

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday: • All US markets will be closed in…

Public choice theory and its methodological-individualist foundations can be illustrated with a currently hot question: Will President Trump order an…

With industrial production, we have the following picture of series the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee focuses on: Figure 1:…

by Calculated Risk on 6/18/2025 09:11:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Housing Starts Decreased to 1.256…

President Trump has fended off Republican criticisms of his “big, beautiful [budget] bill” by declaring that a vote against it…

Goldman Sachs has reduced the probability of recession in the next 12 months to 30%, from 35%, and earlier 45%…

by Calculated Risk on 6/17/2025 12:18:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Housing Market Index and Single…

The Wall Street Journal frog letter co-authored by Charley Hooper and me today (print version tomorrow.) I have hesitated to…

The recent undershooting of consensus CPI and PPI has been taken to mean that tariffs have not yet had an…

by Calculated Risk on 6/16/2025 10:49:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 3rd Look at Local Housing…