Browsing: Economy

Personally, I’m not convinced, but if you are, then consider this graph: Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment…

by Calculated Risk on 8/09/2025 08:11:00 AM The key reports this week are July CPI and Retail Sales.For manufacturing, the…

I found many interesting points in a recent Financial Times story about cocoa beans, the main ingredient of chocolate: see…

From Cleveland Fed, Goldman Sachs, plus Bloomberg consensus – generally, acceleration in the q/q annualized: Figure 1:…

In July, the government took several important steps in recovery planning — it approved a medium-term investment plan and expanded…

by Calculated Risk on 8/07/2025 10:29:00 AM The U.S. hotel industry reported mostly positive year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest…

The FT has an interesting story on the British government’s attempt to boost capital gains tax revenue: The UK’s efforts…

Bill McBride’s assessment here. In early April, I went on recession watch, but I’m still not yet predicting a recession…

Since March 2022, the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES) has been preparing monthly reviews of Ukraine’s economy during a full-scale…

by Calculated Risk on 8/06/2025 07:27:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday:• At…