Browsing: Economy

If you think that’s Kevin Hassett opining, you’d be wrong. It’s actually CEA Chair Ed Lazear on May 8, 2008.…

by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 08:09:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Another 11-Month Low For Rates, But…

There is something worse than everybody wanting to come to your country: that’s if everybody tried to avoid it. America…

Tej parikh in ft inquires. He presents growth rates of key indicators followed by the NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee…

by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 08:11:00 AM Altos reports that active single-family inventory was down 1.7% week-over-week.  Inventory usually starts…

Based on the discussion over numerous posts in this series (beginning here) unpacking the arguments of Musa al-Gharbi’s We Have…

NEC Director Hassett makes reference to a GS note that indicates that August preliminary figures typically get…

by Calculated Risk on 9/07/2025 08:09:00 AM From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Year Data Center. Graph and excerpts…

Cleveland-Cliffs Chief Executive Lourenco Goncalves’s invocation of “unfairly traded steel” shows, on the contrarymany reasons why free trade is an…

As of yesterday, here. Here’s the Troika (OMB, CEA, Treasury) forecast, plotted against SPF, IMF, and GDPNow (9/4). CBO projections…