by Calculated Risk on 8/17/2025 09:01:00 AM
From Goldman:
On net, we boosted our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by 0.2pp to +1.4% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) and our Q3 domestic final sales estimate by 0.3pp to +0.2%. We left our past quarter GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +3.1%.
emphasis added [August 15th estimate]
And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.5 percent on August 15, unchanged from August 7 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and Treasury’s Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth increased from 2.0 percent to 2.2 percent, while the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 7.3 percent to 6.6 percent. [August 15th estimate]
