by Calculated Risk on 7/12/2025 08:11:00 AM
The key reports this week are June CPI, Retail Sales and Housing Starts.
For manufacturing, the June Industrial Production report and the July New York and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released.
—– Monday, July 14th —–
No major economic releases scheduled.
—– Tuesday, July 15th —–
8:30 AM: The Consumer Price Index for June from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in CPI, and a 0.3% increase in core CPI. The consensus is for CPI to be up 2.6% year-over-year and core CPI to be up 2.9% YoY.
8:30 AM: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for July. The consensus is for a reading of -10.1, up from -16.0.
—– Wednesday, July 16th —–
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
8:30 AM: The Producer Price Index for June from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in PPI, and a 0.2% increase in core PPI.
9:15 AM: The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for June.
This graph shows industrial production since 1967.
The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to be unchanged at 77.4%.
2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Bookan informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.
—– Thursday, July 17th —–
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to decrease to 225 thousand from 227 thousand last week.
8:30 AM: Retail sales for June is scheduled to be released. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in retail sales.
This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).
8:30 AM: the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for July. The consensus is for a reading of -0.5, up from -4.0.
10:00 AM: The July NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 33, up from 32. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good.
10:00 AM: Speech, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, A View of the Housing Market and U.S. Economic OutlookAt the Housing Partnership Network Symposium, Washington, D.C.
—– Friday, July 18th —–
8:30 am and; Housing Starts for June.This graph shows single and multi-family housing starts since 2000.
The consensus is for 1.300 million SAAR, up from 1.256 million SAAR in May.
10:00 AM: University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for July).
10:00 AM: State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for June 2025
